Batlleground Quick Hits: Virginia, Michigan, Nevada, $$$$$ and more
In the must win state for both candidates, ABC News’ Amy Walter takes a peek at what’s happening in the Old Dominion state. Michigan ripe for flipping? With President Obama’s job approval in the state...
View ArticleDemographics Watch: Youth Vote
Obama’s appeal to the youth vote is often mischaracterized. He was not able motivate a greater turnout among this demographic, but he was able to disproportionately carry those who did vote 65 – 31 —...
View ArticleStudent Journalists and The Battlegrounds
The Washington Post has launched a neat feature on The 12 Battlegrounds using University students to cover the respective states via a Tumblr account. Today, The Washington Post launches The 12, aimed...
View ArticleLessons from Wisconsin: Losing the Youth Vote
Some of the smart recon from the Wisconsin recall is beginning to filter out and US News has a doozy: Younger voters were a significant presence in Tuesday’s election. Voters under the age of 30,...
View ArticleThe Thrill Is Gone … for Obama in Iowa — Today’s Must Read
Jennifer Jacobs in USA Today takes a 1300+ word in-depth look at the souring coalition of voters that helped President Obama carry Iowa in 2008: Some of the once-euphoric Iowans who helped inspire the...
View ArticleObama Lead With Youth Vote Continues to Erode
Obama’s success with the youth vote in 2008 has been well documented. While he wasn’t able to increase turnout dramatically, as many falsely believe, but he was able to disproportionately win the...
View ArticlePoll Shows Romney up Huge with Seniors — Foster McCollum White & Associates
UPDATE: Be sure to read the first comment below. It is from the President of Foster McCollum explaining in great detail their poll weighting that was not reflected in the disproportionate sample sized...
View ArticleMaking the Case Against Polls Over-Sampling Democrats — Today’s Must Read
Time after time we see polls with funny results invariably in favor of President Obama and get our panties in a bunch that the results have no value while Obama advocates masquerading as journalists...
View ArticleAbout those Susquehanna Polls Saying Pennsylvania is in Play — Must Read
Plenty of people on the Right were emboldened when they read the latest poll from Susquehanna showing Romney within 2-points in Pennsylvania while nearly the entirety of the Left dismissed the polls as...
View ArticleQuinnipiac Indicts Itself in Polling ID Debate
National Journal interviewed pollsters on the great party ID debate and Republican complaints that far too many Democrats are being sampled in the surveys. They gave fair hearings to both the polling...
View ArticleAbout That Crumbling 2008 Coalition of Support for Obama — Jewish and Youth Vote
One of the key tenets to the argument that polls surveying Democrat turnout higher than the 2008 levels is every poll shows some combination of either reduced enthusiasm or reduced support for Obama...
View ArticleWhat is Waiting for President Obama at His Rally in Wisconsin Today?
Two mobile billboards will roam around Obama’s Wisconsin event. “In the Obama economy, over 20 million young Americans are living back home with their parents. It’s your choice: move home with mom and...
View ArticleAbout that Crumbling 2008 Coalition of Support for Obama — Seniors, Youth,...
Over the weekend Chuck Todd pointed out what regular readers of this blog have known all along: President Obama’s 2008 coalition is both less supportive and less enthusiastic than they were in 2008. In...
View ArticleReporter Finds First Five Students at Columbus, OH Obama Rally Are Romney...
This is rich (h/t @mattmargolis): The cheering midst of a rally featuring President Barack Obama and a largely college-age crowd of 15,000 on the Oval at Ohio State University would not seem a likely...
View ArticleIn Iowa, Disappointment with Obama Runs Deep
These are not the articles President Obama wants to read: In Iowa, a rural state of outsized political importance, retired nurse Pauline McAreavy is among thousands eager to vote against President...
View ArticleEarly Ballots, Youth Vote and Cannibals
Karl Rove has his usual data driven column in the Wall Street Journal that sheds great light on both the national picture and most importantly the Battleground State of Ohio. Since this blog is all...
View ArticleCombatting the Polling Problem
In addition to fixing a clearly broken brand and attracting more voters, Republicans need to address getting blind-sided by their own internal polling: In the weeks before Election Day, both...
View ArticleWomen, Youth and Hispanics = President Obama
The Winston Group identifies key areas where the Romney campaign came up short in November: There were three key groups that were problematic for Romney: women, younger voters, and Hispanics. Women...
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